Found in 3 comments on Hacker News
omarseyal · 2008-03-17
· Original
thread
Honestly, Black Swan is not Taleb's best book. I would recommend you read Fooled By Randomness first if you have the chance...
http://www.amazon.com/Fooled-Randomness-Hidden-Chance-Market...
byrneseyeview · 2007-10-02
· Original
thread
I wonder how useful a heuristic this is: when people who fail at something tell you it's a crapshoot, and people who succeed tell you it's science. [Nassim Nicholas Taleb](http://www.amazon.com/Fooled-Randomness-Hidden-Chance-Market...) made some money in the market, but he says most successful traders are lucky. But [John D. Rockefeller](http://www.amazon.com/Titan-Life-John-Rockefeller-Sr/dp/0679...) made a lot more, and he said his money was foreordained.
Another data point: most successful gamblers seem to treat gambling as a science; bad ones seem to have more OCD rituals to go along with their losing streaks.
http://www.amazon.com/Fooled-Randomness-Hidden-Chance-Market...