Found in 3 comments on Hacker News
credit_guy · 2020-08-14 · Original thread
Not a chance. While the "revolution" in Romania 31 years ago started as spontaneous protests was quickly hijacked by an organised clique so it became a coup in a matter of days. The book "Coup d'Etat" [1] lists this "revolution" as a coup in one Appendix. If you ask people in the know in Romania, they'll all agree, they'll even tell you who the key people were.

This thing in Belarus here is no coup, it has no chance to succeed.

[1] https://www.amazon.com/Coup-d%C3%89tat-Practical-Handbook-Re...

notpeter · 2017-03-25 · Original thread
It lists 21 distinct agencies:

* Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI)

* Central Intelligence Agency (CIA)

* National Security Agency (NSA)

* Office of Intelligence and Counterintelligence (OICI)

* Border and Customs Service Intelligence Unit [Homeland]

* US Coast Guard Intelligence [Homeland]

* Office of Homeland investigations [Homeland]

* Bureau of Intelligence and Research (INR) [State]

* Office of Terrorism and Financial Intelligence [Treasury]

* Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) [Defense]

* National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency (NGA)

* National Reconnaissance Office (NRO)

* US Cyber Command

* US Air Force Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance Agency (ISR)

* National Air and Space Reconnaissance Center (NASIC)

* US Army Intelligence and Security Command (INSCOM)

* National Ground Intelligence Center (NGIC) [Army]

* US Marine Core Intelligence Activity (MCIA)

* US Navy Department's Office of Naval Intelligence (ONI)

* FBI National Security Branch [Justice]

* Office of National Security Intelligence of Drug Enforcement Administration (ONSI DEA) [Justice]

Coup d'État: A Practical Handbook, Revised Edition (2016) by Edward N. Luttwak. Pages 60-62

http://amzn.to/2nlZrDC

The first edition (1968) is timeless, but the revised edition (2016) is amazingly on-point and is updated to reflect the structural changes which have occurred in the half century since it's first printing. It's only 300-odd pages, highly recommended.

Animats · 2016-07-15 · Original thread
No. Erdogan called for people to take to the streets, and within an hour, the airport and bridge were filled with thousands of people waving flags. (From pictures, all male.) That's popular support. The military is not attacking the crowds. The military presence was apparently not that big, concentrating on a few key spots.

A coup has to succeed within the first few hours. Control must be established before opposition mobilizes. If the coup drags on, it fails. Failure is either a loss or a civil war.

Suggested reading: "Coup d'État: A Practical Handbook"[1]

[1] https://www.amazon.com/dp/0674737261

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