Imagine 80% of the population is elderly and retired (or want to be retired) - that is where the world is heading by the end of the century.
From 2018: https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2018/12/the-sex...
From 2022: https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2018/12/the-sex...
Empty Planet: https://www.amazon.ca/Empty-Planet-Global-Population-Decline...
See: https://www.amazon.com/Empty-Planet-Global-Population-Declin...
Historically mid UN projections never turn out to be true. They were either low variant or below that.
> “Once a woman receives enough information and autonomy to make an informed and self-directed choice about when to have children, and how many to have, she immediately has fewer of them, and has them later.”
https://www.amazon.com/Empty-Planet-Global-Population-Declin...
> Our findings suggest that continued trends in female educational attainment and access to contraception will hasten declines in fertility and slow population growth. A sustained TFR lower than the replacement level in many countries, including China and India, would have economic, social, environmental, and geopolitical consequences. Policy options to adapt to continued low fertility, while sustaining and enhancing female reproductive health, will be crucial in the years to come.
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6... | https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30677-2