Found 1 comment on HN
yboris · 2019-07-02 · Original thread
In Epistemology and Psychology of Human Judgment [1] the authors recommend a similar approach:

1) Make a point estimate 2) Imagine that you're wrong (what direction are you wrong?) 3) Make a second point estimate 4) Average the two

Excellent advice from an excellent book!

[1] https://www.amazon.com/Epistemology-Psychology-Judgment-Mich...

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