Not to be a buzzkill, but being fooled by randomness is a thing that should at least be mentioned here. Of course Taleb has more to say on the matter in [1].

[1] https://www.amazon.in/Fooled-Randomness-Hidden-Chance-Market...

I'd strongly recommend the book Fooled by Randomness (http://www.amazon.co.uk/Fooled-Randomness-Hidden-Chance-Mark...) for a very entertaining look at the role of chance both in "success" in the financial markets and life in general.

One of the few books I can honestly say had a significant impact on how I approach a lot of every day situations.