No problem, I understand completely, and sorry to call you out on gambling, incorrectly.. : )
You might like this book: http://www.amazon.com/Retire-Early-Live-Million-Dollars/dp/1... He gives some advice about real estate investing for income, and suggests that a 'safe' amount of margin is 50% if you may want income from them to live off. So, you could possibly buy two of those apartments now. If the market drops 30% next year, and you have another 50k, buy another one. The first two are still going to cashflow, and you're making a long-term bet here.
In my experience, it's hard to time the market, really any market. I remember being desperate to buy a place in Cambridge, MA while the housing boom was going on in the late '90s. 800 square foot condos were selling for $500k+, in two to three days. Now, 10+ years later, you might have made a little money, net.
Meanwhile, in 2008, real estate looked 'risky'. Thinking about asset value first, market pricing second can fundamentally change one's decision matrix; this is one of the big points that Value Investors make, repeatedly.
You might like this book: http://www.amazon.com/Retire-Early-Live-Million-Dollars/dp/1... He gives some advice about real estate investing for income, and suggests that a 'safe' amount of margin is 50% if you may want income from them to live off. So, you could possibly buy two of those apartments now. If the market drops 30% next year, and you have another 50k, buy another one. The first two are still going to cashflow, and you're making a long-term bet here.
In my experience, it's hard to time the market, really any market. I remember being desperate to buy a place in Cambridge, MA while the housing boom was going on in the late '90s. 800 square foot condos were selling for $500k+, in two to three days. Now, 10+ years later, you might have made a little money, net.
Meanwhile, in 2008, real estate looked 'risky'. Thinking about asset value first, market pricing second can fundamentally change one's decision matrix; this is one of the big points that Value Investors make, repeatedly.