If you have a 4th & 2 from your own 10 in the first quarter, go for it!
No matter what the math says, no coach will do this (save for maybe Billichek, but even he's not that bold). Sports is one of those areas where the "gut" and conventions are more important than stats and probabilities. Moneyball is a great book for anybody whose interested in the intersection of sports conventions and math.
No matter what the math says, no coach will do this (save for maybe Billichek, but even he's not that bold). Sports is one of those areas where the "gut" and conventions are more important than stats and probabilities. Moneyball is a great book for anybody whose interested in the intersection of sports conventions and math.
http://www.amazon.com/Moneyball-Art-Winning-Unfair-Game/dp/0...