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duvenaud · 2023-05-30 · Original thread
I think it's very unlikely that any of those would lead to human extinction, especially since most of those take decades to unfold, and would still leave large parts of the earth habitable.

Toby Ord wrote a book trying to estimate each of these risks, and put AI on top: https://www.amazon.ca/Precipice-Existential-Risk-Future-Huma...

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