Found in 3 comments on Hacker News
Missing credit to the original creator of both the term “luck surface area” and the chart: https://www.codusoperandi.com/posts/increasing-your-luck-sur...

The idea was also expanded upon by one of his friends in a mental models book here: https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0525533583/

tb303 · 2020-12-10 · Original thread
Super Thinking: The Big Book of Mental Models

https://www.amazon.com/Super-Thinking-Book-Mental-Models/dp/...

Written by the duckduckgo folks

Shane Parrish of Farnam Street has his own two volumes of this (the Mental Models series), which although designed beautifully, cost more, have 10x the words, and take 10x the time to get the points across.

melling · 2019-09-22 · Original thread
At the library last week, I saw this book on mental models:

https://www.amazon.com/Super-Thinking-Book-Mental-Models/dp/...