Found in 22 comments on Hacker News
thaumasiotes · 2016-06-14 · Original thread
> we see the use of actual force happen more and more. Why?

False premise; this is the opposite of what we see. https://www.amazon.com/Better-Angels-Our-Nature-Violence/dp/...

You can only make people stop fighting by (a) killing them; or (b) convincing them that fighting you is a mistake. There are no other ways.

maroonblazer · 2016-04-14 · Original thread
Don't confuse a local maxima with a global minima. On the whole, across centuries, violence is in decline. Pinker wrote an entire book on this[0]

[0]http://www.amazon.com/Better-Angels-Our-Nature-Violence/dp/0...

I always saw it as constructing versus running models. Historians dispassionately collect and interpret data. In doing so they can come to surprising conclusions, e.g. around how violence [1] or hegemony [2] propagate. Counterfactualists run these models to simulate decisions, both past and present.

[1] http://www.amazon.com/The-Better-Angels-Our-Nature/dp/149151...

[2 http://www.amazon.com/Tragedy-Great-Power-Politics-Updated/d...

lisper · 2015-07-23 · Original thread
> Pretending that the opposite it true, that violence is our most natural and basic state, is equally naive

That depends on what you mean. It is certainly true that our natural state is not to be psychopaths, indiscriminately killing everything in sight. But the evidence (and the theoretical foundations) indicate that a certain amount of violence is an inherent part of our basic nature, and so achieving peace requires work.

I do want to emphasize, though, that it can certainly be done. The internet, airplanes, McDonalds -- none of these are part of our basic nature either, and yet we've managed to achieve them. Peace is not out of reach, and indeed, the historical trend is towards an ever more peaceful world [1].

--- [1] http://www.amazon.com/The-Better-Angels-Our-Nature/dp/149151...

Kurtz79 · 2015-06-15 · Original thread
Related:

http://www.amazon.com/The-Better-Angels-Our-Nature/dp/149151...

Recommended read by Gates and Zuckerberg.

Ollinson · 2015-05-28 · Original thread
Anyone looking for more information on the topic of the peace we live in today might be interested in the book The Better Angels of our Nature by Steven Pinker: Why Violence Has Declined

http://www.amazon.com/The-Better-Angels-Our-Nature/dp/149151...

> since this minority is specifically "disabled people", they can't really do much, so the game-theoretic driver of "possible revolt" isn't there

In The Better Angels of Our Nature [1] Steven Pinker describes the process by which, in the past, humanity has expanded its "circle of empathy". Children, animals and countless other voiceless minorities have gained rights through this process.

One specific process he identified for expanding our collective circles of empathy is the expansion of literacy. "Reading is a technology for perspective-taking. When someone else's thoughts are in your head, you are observing the world from that person's vantage point" [2].

[1] http://www.amazon.com/Better-Angels-Our-Nature-Violence/dp/0...

[2] http://www.theguardian.com/books/2011/nov/01/extract-better-...

tim333 · 2014-12-24 · Original thread
It's easy to get the impression that things are going to hell from the news because that's what gets viewers. If you want evidence for the opposite I recommend Pinker's very good book:

http://www.amazon.com/Better-Angels-Our-Nature-Violence-eboo...

Or to save the cost and hassle of getting his book, watch Pinker talking about it:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o5X2-i_poNU&feature=youtu.be...

This is actually not entirely true. Although WWI and WWII were large spikes, death rates for many wars before the 20th century – both in terms of combatants and civilians – were significantly higher and have generally been on the decline throughout human history. See Pinker's "Better Angels of Our Nature" for a detailed analysis of this exact issue.

[1] http://www.amazon.com/The-Better-Angels-Our-Nature/dp/149151...

varunsrin · 2014-07-18 · Original thread
There are many objective reasons why the world is becoming a better place if you take a macro viewpoint (i.e. at the decade or century level).

Violence for example is one, and Steven Pinker makes a great argument for it in this book: http://www.amazon.com/The-Better-Angels-Our-Nature/dp/014312...

Its hard to see these patterns if you just rely on news/anecdotal evidence as your barometer for whether the world is becoming a better place, because the news reports whatever will get views, and nothing gets views like bad news.

holograham · 2013-12-16 · Original thread
A great book to read on the decline of violence in the world: The Better Angels of our Nature: Why Violence has Declined by Steven Pinker.

The Hacker News community should like it as it focuses on the stats and facts rather than anecdotal stories the media slings.

The main thesis: Violence (in nearly every form) has been on a precipitous decline in the modern era. War deaths (and civilian causalities) are at all time lows and still declining.

http://www.amazon.com/The-Better-Angels-Our-Nature/dp/014312...

jseliger · 2013-11-05 · Original thread
considers the world far too precarious to start a family

By virtually every metric, the world is a much safer, healthier place than it used to be: http://www.amazon.com/The-Better-Angels-Our-Nature/dp/014312... .

Trade openness is one of the strongest predictor of peace [1] (also see: Better Angels of our Nature [2]).

Free trade would also be an economic boon to Europe and the U.S. A study by the Bertelsmann Foundation together with the Munich-based Center for Economic Studies found that "if the United States and the European Union are able to come together on a far-reaching free trade agreement, Germany would be one of the greatest beneficiaries. Fully 181,000 new jobs could be expected and per-capita income would spike by 4.68 percent." GDP/capita could rise "by 13.4 percent in the US and by 9.7 percent in the UK. More than a million new jobs would result in America. That number would be 400,000 in Britain." [3]

The benefits of free trade are one of the points economists have found consensus on.

[1] http://www.yale.edu/leitner/resources/docs/HORJune09.pdf "Trade Does Promote Peace: New Simultaneous Estimates of the Reciprocal Effects of Trade and Conflict" (Hegre, O'Neal, & Russett, 2009)

[2] http://www.amazon.com/The-Better-Angels-Our-Nature/dp/014312... The Better Angels of Our Nature: Why Violence Has Declined by Steven Pinker

[3] http://www.spiegel.de/international/business/study-on-trans-...

woodchuck64 · 2013-06-04 · Original thread
See Steven Pinker's "The Better Angels of our Nature"(http://www.amazon.com/The-Better-Angels-Our-Nature/dp/014312...) to see why I remain much more optimistic than you.
jamii · 2013-06-03 · Original thread
There is substantial evidence that the rate of human violence has decreased dramatically over the course of human history. Two of the biggest turning points were the rise of the nation-state and the spread of democracy. Yes, individual politicians are often corrupt, violent or plain stupid and the political system has serious issues but politicians as a whole have been a boon to civilized society.

http://www.amazon.com/The-Better-Angels-Our-Nature/dp/014312...

kerno · 2013-04-16 · Original thread
"The Better Angels of our Nature" by Steven Pinker shows that this is the least violent time in history.

http://www.amazon.com/The-Better-Angels-Our-Nature/dp/014312...

ProCynic · 2012-11-20 · Original thread
You'll probably find this interesting then. It's about how violence rates have changed over time, and some guesses about causation. http://www.amazon.com/The-Better-Angels-Nature-ebook/dp/B005...
001sky · 2012-11-16 · Original thread
Interjecting is what you call it when you disregard the topic being discussed, qualifications made to observations, you don't read the data in the footnotes...etc.

Steven Pinker: The surprising decline in violence

http://www.amazon.com/dp/1455883115

Filmed Mar 2007 • Posted Sep 2007 • TED2007

http://www.ted.com/talks/steven_pinker_on_the_myth_of_violen...

to which the counter=argument is somthing like this:

The biggest problem with [Pinker], though, is [his] overreliance on history, which, like the light on a caboose, shows us only where we are not going. We live in a time when all the rules are being rewritten blindingly fast—when, for example, an increasingly smaller number of people can do increasingly greater damage. (Scientific American)[1]

I don't fully dis-agree with this latter qualication. If you go back and read my initial comments, you will see this.

[1] from: http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=bookreview-...; See also: http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=the-decline...

tokenadult · 2012-03-26 · Original thread
extreme violence of the 20th century

Maybe he should read Steven Pinker's new book, The Better Angels of Our Nature: Why Violence Has Declined.

http://www.amazon.com/The-Better-Angels-Nature-ebook/dp/B005...

Here's a discussion of the main point of that book:

http://www.samharris.org/blog/item/qa-with-steven-pinker/

Any amount of violence of one human being against another is deplorable, but the most recent century of human history is characterized by how remarkably little violence it has had compared to any previous human century since hunter-gatherer bands turned into tribes and then nation-states.

tokenadult · 2011-12-01 · Original thread
Why does someone self-identify as a rationalist?

I'll just speak for myself in answering your question. Other people who self-identify as rationalists may have other reasons. I self-identify as a rationalist because, after a lifetime of being curious and wanting to know what is true, I have found rationalism a powerful instrumental means of discovering truth. I have found from observation of my own life that knowledge of truth is itself an instrumental means for pursuing other useful goals (for example, making a living for my family) but anyway I think truth-seeking is part of human nature at its best and something fun and worthy for its own sake.

most bad things are propagated by extremely rational actors out of greed and self-interest

I might disagree with you about there being very many "extremely rational actors" in the world,

http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/stanovich1/Engli...

but I agree with you that many bad acts are prompted by greed and self interest. One of the greatest achievements of rational thought has been a deeper understanding of how human moral sentiments

http://www.amazon.com/Theory-Moral-Sentiments-Great-Philosop...

can be motivated by the actions of human beings pursuing their self-interest.

http://www.amazon.com/Wealth-Nations-Bantam-Classics/dp/0553...

This discovery has resulted in considerable reduction of violence and other bad things over time,

http://www.amazon.com/Better-Angels-Our-Nature-Violence/dp/0...

and promises to provide continued blessings of more peace, prosperity, and freedom as it becomes more widely known to humankind. So I pursue rationalism as a positive good for my family and for my society, after having had a childhood upbringing with more nonrational dogmas than I know adhere to.

tokenadult · 2011-10-27 · Original thread
If only things were so simple in real life where liberty is often abused so as to threaten the safety of others.

The historical trend has been the other way around: as societies have become more free in general, they have also become safer in general. I would much rather live in the liberty of the United States, where I enjoy a crime-free neighborhood, than in the one-party dictatorship of China in the 1980s, where I saw more fights among strangers in public in three weeks in three different cities than I have seen in an entire lifetime traveling all over the United States.

See Steven Pinker's new book

http://www.amazon.com/Better-Angels-Our-Nature-Violence/dp/0...

for more about increasing safety of human societies over time (when the long-term trend has also plainly been in the direction of greater individual liberty for all aspects of human behavior).