Found in 3 comments on Hacker News
I recommend reading William Strauss and Neil Howe's book The Fourth Turning: An American Prophecy - What the Cycles of History Tell Us About America's Next Rendezvous with Destiny [1]. The book introduces the idea of generational cycles [2] According to the theory, historical events are associated with recurring generational personas (archetypes) and I couldn't put it down when I read it over the summer. Several people whom I deeply respect recommended this book, including the famous bond trader Jeffrey Gundlach.

After reading the book, it was really no surprise to me when the capital was overrun with rioters. The book convinced me, we could very well have a bloody revolution or war considering the unaddressed underlying conditions: extreme wealth inequality, pandemic, desperation, hunger and feeling like one has no personal stake. The rise of China and decline of the United States contributes to another dangerous possible outcome. The tech industry's most recent moves to purge conservatives/libertarians may make our social condition even worse, by isolating rather than including the most desperate people in our society.



chaostheory · 2020-09-22 · Original thread
Corruption never disappears completely, but it's pervasiveness seems to be cyclical. The 4th Turning is a good read on the subject

nacker · 2012-08-30 · Original thread
"Then why isn't it taught in mainstream history courses?"

Perhaps because mainstream history teachers don't know everything? Perhaps because knowledge grows?

"a place where you could rebut me"? What are you talking about? "woo-meisters or just plain frauds" IS name-calling, refute that.

"What predictions did Strauss and Howe make that have actually come true?"

Well, how about I just refer you to the Amazon page, since you OBVIOUSLY haven't read their book?

Fresh book recommendations delivered straight to your inbox every Thursday.