Found in 4 comments on Hacker News
MR4D · 2017-08-17 · Original thread
Amazon link in case anyone is interested in that book:

zeristor · 2016-08-18 · Original thread
Yes, having read "The Theory That Would Not Die" [0] I too soon came to the conclusion that this seems to be what is behind the Wisdom of Crowds.

Aircraft searches are a big thing, and there's a book on how it has been applied to MH370...

[0] -

jaynos · 2013-05-02 · Original thread
The Theory That Would Not Die [1] is a great read. It's a complete history of the fight to legitimize Bayes' theory from Bayes' original experiment through Turing and Nazi subs and beyond. Probably not the quickest way to learn the theory, but worth the read.


Symmetry · 2012-11-11 · Original thread
It's mostly a philosophical difference between thinking of probabilities as measures of relative frequency versus thinking of probabilities as measures about one's uncertainty about the outcome. There isn't so much a huge war between them as there used to be, but if you want to read about the history of that this was a book I enjoyed:

Being horribly biased in favor of the Bayesian interpretation ever since I learned it was a thing I'll give an example of places that frequentists can be wrong. People who disagree can give counterexamples. ;)

On the other hand, some argue that certain forms of inference are invalid and that it doesn't matter if they give the correct answer or not in practice because they're invalid. Calculus was attacked on this basis early on because many mathematicians thought that taking the limit of something as it approached 0 wasn't a thing you should be able to do.

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